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A dynamic sector-based investment strategy
The Short-Term Tactical Model (STTM) takes a sector-specific approach to stock investing. It analyzes current economic and financial conditions and positions the portfolio in the sectors of the market that are expected to perform the strongest. Because the STTM sacrifices diversification in exchange for higher expected returns, it is both our most volatile and highest performing investment model.
The historical backtested performance of the Short-Term Tactical Model can be seen in the chart below. For comparison, the the performance of SPY (an ETF that tracks the performance of the S&P 500 Index) is included in the chart.
Model performance represents total returns and includes reinvestment of dividends and interest. No management fees or transaction costs are included. Historical performance is not an indication or guarantee of future performance.
The STTM has been able to outperform the S&P 500 because it does not maintain allocations across all sectors. Rather, the model shifts dynamically between sectors and favors those which stand to benefit from current trends in the economy. The STTM also has the ability to shift the portfolio into bonds when overall stock market conditions are deteriorating.
More information about the STTM's historical backtested performance is available in the two charts below. The first chart shows excess return (alpha), which represents the model's ability to deliver returns above its benchmark (the S&P 500 index). The second chart shows annual returns.
These two charts demonstrate the value-add over an indexed portfolio, as well as the model's ability to minimize drawdowns during bad market environments. Additional performance data can be found in the table below. If you have any questions about the STTM's performance or would like to discuss using the Short-Term Tactical Model in your portfolio, please reach out to us.
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Hypothetical, backtested or simulated performance results have inherent limitations. Simulated results are achieved by the retroactive application of a backtested model, itself designed with the benefit of hindsight. The backtesting of performance differs from the actual account performance because the investment strategy may be adjusted at any time, for any reason and can continue to be changed until desired or better performance results are achieved. Alternative modeling techniques or assumptions might produce significantly different results and prove to be more appropriate. Past hypothetical backtest results are neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future returns. Actual results will vary from the analysis. Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, expressed or implied is made regarding future performance.
As a fee-only Registered Investment Advisor, we have a fiduciary duty to you, our client. We put your interests ahead of ours, and offer a transparent pricing structure that aligns us toward the same goal. As a result, you know that we sit squarely in your corner.
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Sigma Point Capital, LLC (“SPC”) is a Registered Investment Advisor. All information provided herein is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice, an offer to buy or sell any security or insurance product; or an endorsement of any third party or such third party’s views.
Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, or product will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated historical performance level(s), be suitable for your portfolio or individual situation, or prove successful.
All examples are hypothetical and designed solely to convey information about our investment philosophy and strategies. Investing involves a great deal of risk including the loss of some or all of your investment. Past performance is not an indication or guarantee of future performance and Sigma Point Capital does not warrant or guarantee any minimum level of investment performance. No representation is being made that any SPC client account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown in the hypothetical back tested performance.
Hypothetical performance shown on the Sigma Point Capital website (the “Site”) is backtested and does not represent the performance of any account managed by Sigma Point Capital. The hypothetical performance depicted was achieved by means of the retroactive application of investment strategies that were designed with the benefit of hindsight.
Backtested performance is NOT an indicator of future actual results. Hypothetical results have inherent limitations, particularly that the performance results do not reflect the results of actual trading using client assets. Additional limitations of backtested performance include, but are not limited to, the effects of material economic and market factors on the decision-making process, and the ability for the security selection methodology to be adjusted until past returns are maximized.
The performance of any account managed by Sigma Point Capital will differ from the backtested performance shown on the Site for a variety of reasons, including without limitation the following:
Performance results have been compiled solely by Sigma Point Capital, LLC and have not been independently verified.
Sigma Point Capital relies on third-party data sources for portions of its data. The information derived from these sources is believed to be accurate, but no warranties or representations are made with respect to its accuracy or completeness.
Neither Sigma Point Capital nor any third-party data provider are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information.
In order to help existing and prospective clients understand the performance characteristics of the SPC Tactical Investment Models, backtested performance on the Site is shown in relation to three benchmarks: The S&P 500 Index, The U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, and a 60/40 blend of those two indexes (benchmarks are shown using Exchange-Traded Funds which track each index).
Sigma Point Capital Tactical Models use a combination of equity and fixed-income ETFs to achieve their results; therefore, these benchmarks provide a reasonable example of the performance that one would achieve from a buy-and-hold approach using a similar set of securities.
SPY represents the SPDR S&P 500 ETF. It is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the S&P 500 Index. It does not represent the index itself.
AGG represents the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF. It is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. It does not represent the index itself. The inception date for AGG is 9-22-2003. As a result, in our analysis and backtested performance, we use price data for VBMFX (the Vanguard Total Bond Market Index) as a proxy for AGG price data for all dates prior to 10-01-2003, at which point we switch to using actual AGG price data.
"60/40 Stocks/Bonds" refers to a hypothetical portfolio that would have kept 60% of its assets invested in SPY - the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and 40% of its assets invested in AGG - the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF.
SIGMA POINT CAPITAL, LLC MAKES NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION ON THE SITE.
This document and the information found on the Site do not constitute a complete description of SPC’s investment services. For personalized investment advice, please Contact Us.
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